expectations hypothesis

Definition

Mathematical formula used to predict upcoming interest rates. If RS is the one year interest rate, RL is the two year interest rate - and the next year's short term interest rate is predicted with RS*t+1, then the expected return to one and two year investments are equal if the following equation is true:

(1 + RLt)2 = (1 + RSt) ( 1 + RS*t+1)

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